Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Patch Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510101800 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,146 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
29510101800 is a census tract in the Patch area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,146 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,288
Renter share53.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate24.7%
Median income$48,922
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5469, -90.2546 · click any tract to drill in
Why Patch scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.7% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$868 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Patch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 47%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 777Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2012)
- 68Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 84% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 320Total filings 2020-21
- 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Patch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.9%Housing insecurity
- 24.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.4%Food insecurity
- 37.0%SNAP enrollment
- 19.8%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 47.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Patch
Food insecurity runs 36.4% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Court records carry 777 eviction filings across 13 observed years. At $868 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
It sits 0.7 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. Filings peaked in 2012 at 9.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510101800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101800?
Census tract 29510101800 in the Patch neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510101800?
Median gross rent is $868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101800?
24.7% of residents in tract 29510101800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,146.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 66th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 29510101800 considered part of Patch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101800 fall within Patch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 777 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.45% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510101800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510101800 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510101800 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510101800 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510101800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 47% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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