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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Lower , University City

Tract 29189215901 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,794 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 29189215901 sits in the Varsity neighborhood area of University City eviction risk, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 9% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 21% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,373
Renter share23.2%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$75,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Varsity neighborhood
Moderate
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In University City
Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#139 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Moderate
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,062 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across University City and the region

Centroid at 38.6742, -90.3293 · click any tract to drill in

Why Varsity neighborhood scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,545 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1

How Varsity neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Varsity neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 2159013.4University Cityparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 110Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The voucher gap is 27.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,545, 17% above the University City average.

Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $75,042.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189215901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189215901?

Census tract 29189215901 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189215901?

Median gross rent is $1,545/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 9% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189215901?

2.0% of residents in tract 29189215901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,794.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189215901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 5th, minority 77th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 29189215901 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189215901 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189215901 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189215901 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189215901 compare to University City overall?

Tract 29189215901 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29189215901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in University City

Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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