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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Point Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189210501 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,320 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Castle Point

For landlords sizing up Castle Point, census tract 29189210501 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 67% of renter households, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,280 a month while the average household earns $41,750 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 12% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units985
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$41,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Castle Point
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#273 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Point and the region

Centroid at 38.7642, -90.2488 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Point scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Point
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Point
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Point
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Point
9.5

How Castle Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Point risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 210501Castle Point: 3.23.2Castle Pointparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 398Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 16.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.3%Peak (2010)
  • 47Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892105012003: 32 filings (12.40/100 renter HHs)2004: 35 filings (13.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 46 filings (18.14/100 renter HHs)2006: 52 filings (20.50/100 renter HHs)2010: 70 filings (23.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 66 filings (16.88/100 renter HHs)2013: 50 filings (12.79/100 renter HHs)2017: 47 filings (11.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 47% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 380Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-10-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-12-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2022-08-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2023-04-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (3.25× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-11-01: 13 filings (3.25× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-05-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 10 filings (2.86× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.77× baseline)2025-06-01: 9 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-08-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2025-09-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Point

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Castle Point, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.14x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189210501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210501?

Census tract 29189210501 in Castle Point scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189210501?

Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210501?

25.8% of residents in tract 29189210501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,320.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 61th, minority 97th, housing 41th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 398 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.13% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189210501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189210501 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189210501 compare to Castle Point overall?

Tract 29189210501 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Castle Point at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Point

Top eight tracts in Castle Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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