Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189210704 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,981
Tract 29189210704, home to 3,981 residents in Spanish Lake, scores 6.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #9,596 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $885 a month while the average household earns $47,596 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$47,596
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Spanish Lake and the region
Centroid at 38.7907, -90.2280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Lake scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$885 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spanish Lake
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spanish Lake
7.9
How Spanish Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,862Total filings over 8 yrs
- 22.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.4%Peak (2017)
- 349Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 92% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,556Total filings 2020-21
- 20.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 22.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.1%Housing insecurity
- 22.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.7%Food insecurity
- 27.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Lake
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.91x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,862 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 23.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.4% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210704?
Census tract 29189210704 in Spanish Lake scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210704?
Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210704?
14.8% of residents in tract 29189210704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,981.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 54th, minority 95th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,862 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.97% of renter households, peaking at 28.4% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210704 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189210704 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189210704 compare to Spanish Lake overall?
Tract 29189210704 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Spanish Lake at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Spanish Lake
Top eight tracts in Spanish Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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