Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189210704 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,981
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 29189210704 in Spanish Lake, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,981. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,542
Renter share74.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$47,596
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Spanish Lake and the region
Centroid at 38.7907, -90.2280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Lake scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$885 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spanish Lake
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spanish Lake
7.9
How Spanish Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,862Total filings over 8 yrs
- 22.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.4%Peak (2017)
- 349Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 92% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,556Total filings 2020-21
- 20.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 22.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.1%Housing insecurity
- 22.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.7%Food insecurity
- 27.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Lake
This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.7 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $885 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Spanish Lake commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Food insecurity runs 30.7% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1,862 evictions over 8 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2017 at 28.4% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210704?
Census tract 29189210704 in Spanish Lake scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210704?
Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210704?
14.8% of residents in tract 29189210704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,981.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 54th, minority 95th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,862 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.97% of renter households, peaking at 28.4% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210704 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189210704 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189210704 compare to Spanish Lake overall?
Tract 29189210704 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Spanish Lake at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Spanish Lake
Top eight tracts in Spanish Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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