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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Spanish Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189210702 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,014 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Spanish Lake

Census tract 29189210702 covers Spanish Lake, home to 6,014 residents. For landlords it grades 6.9/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 72% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,187 a month against an average household income of $47,901 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 12% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,513
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$47,901

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Spanish Lake
High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#414 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Spanish Lake and the region

Centroid at 38.7783, -90.2209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spanish Lake scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,187 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spanish Lake
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spanish Lake
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spanish Lake
7.9

How Spanish Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spanish Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 210702Spanish Lake: 3.03.0Spanish Lakeparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,477Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 29.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 45.7%Peak (2017)
  • 488Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892107022003: 226 filings (20.55/100 renter HHs)2004: 308 filings (28.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 333 filings (34.94/100 renter HHs)2006: 256 filings (26.86/100 renter HHs)2010: 225 filings (21.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 343 filings (30.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 298 filings (26.30/100 renter HHs)2017: 488 filings (45.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 116% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,758Total filings 2020-21
  • 22.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 25.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 26 filings (0.84× baseline)2020-02-01: 27 filings (1.38× baseline)2020-03-01: 10 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (0.06× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.04× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (0.11× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.03× baseline)2020-08-01: 21 filings (0.88× baseline)2020-09-01: 5 filings (0.11× baseline)2020-10-01: 20 filings (0.61× baseline)2020-11-01: 8 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-12-01: 29 filings (1.29× baseline)2021-01-01: 14 filings (0.45× baseline)2021-02-01: 11 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-03-01: 16 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 7 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-05-01: 9 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 11 filings (0.59× baseline)2021-07-01: 28 filings (0.93× baseline)2021-08-01: 23 filings (0.96× baseline)2021-09-01: 21 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-10-01: 24 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-11-01: 10 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-12-01: 17 filings (0.76× baseline)2022-01-01: 23 filings (0.74× baseline)2022-02-01: 12 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (0.38× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (0.13× baseline)2022-05-01: 9 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-07-01: 14 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-08-01: 27 filings (1.13× baseline)2022-09-01: 16 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-10-01: 15 filings (0.45× baseline)2022-11-01: 28 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-12-01: 49 filings (2.18× baseline)2023-01-01: 11 filings (0.35× baseline)2023-02-01: 31 filings (1.59× baseline)2023-03-01: 34 filings (2.13× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-05-01: 26 filings (0.96× baseline)2023-06-01: 33 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-07-01: 25 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-08-01: 45 filings (1.88× baseline)2023-09-01: 41 filings (0.91× baseline)2023-10-01: 60 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-11-01: 26 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 36 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-01-01: 19 filings (0.61× baseline)2024-02-01: 44 filings (2.26× baseline)2024-03-01: 28 filings (1.75× baseline)2024-04-01: 20 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-05-01: 11 filings (0.41× baseline)2024-06-01: 18 filings (0.97× baseline)2024-07-01: 47 filings (1.57× baseline)2024-08-01: 59 filings (2.46× baseline)2024-09-01: 34 filings (0.76× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.12× baseline)2024-11-01: 21 filings (0.65× baseline)2024-12-01: 45 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 19 filings (0.61× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (0.62× baseline)2025-03-01: 12 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-04-01: 11 filings (0.34× baseline)2025-05-01: 32 filings (1.19× baseline)2025-06-01: 27 filings (1.46× baseline)2025-07-01: 37 filings (1.23× baseline)2025-08-01: 35 filings (1.46× baseline)2025-09-01: 37 filings (0.82× baseline)2025-10-01: 38 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-11-01: 30 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-12-01: 45 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 17 filings (170.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 49 filings (490.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 30 filings (300.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 42 filings (420.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spanish Lake

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,477 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 29.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 45.7% of renter households in 2017.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.89x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189210702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210702?

Census tract 29189210702 in Spanish Lake scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189210702?

Median gross rent is $1,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210702?

20.1% of residents in tract 29189210702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,014.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 84th, minority 93th, housing 37th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,477 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.28% of renter households, peaking at 45.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189210702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189210702 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189210702 compare to Spanish Lake overall?

Tract 29189210702 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Spanish Lake at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spanish Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Spanish Lake

Top eight tracts in Spanish Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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