Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Ferguson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189211700 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,655 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Ferguson
Census tract 29189211700 covers part of Ferguson, MO, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,684
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate19.6%
Median income$60,287
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ferguson and the region
Centroid at 38.7606, -90.2907 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ferguson scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.6% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferguson
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferguson
8.6
How Ferguson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 22%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 325Total filings over 8 yrs
- 14.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.7%Peak (2017)
- 68Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 162% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 343Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.8%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.0%Food insecurity
- 24.5%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 42.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ferguson
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.8 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 22.8% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 325 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Average gross rent is $1,268, 13% above the Ferguson average. Filings peaked in 2017 at 25.7% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189211700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189211700?
Census tract 29189211700 in Ferguson scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189211700?
Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189211700?
19.6% of residents in tract 29189211700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,655.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189211700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 52th, minority 73th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189211700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189211700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.43% of renter households, peaking at 25.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189211700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189211700 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189211700 compare to Ferguson overall?
Tract 29189211700 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Ferguson at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferguson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189211700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ferguson
Top eight tracts in Ferguson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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