Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Ferguson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189212702 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,910 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Ferguson
Census tract 29189212702 covers part of Ferguson, MO, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,910 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units711
Renter share49.5%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate55.3%
Median income$35,876
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ferguson and the region
Centroid at 38.7306, -90.3161 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ferguson scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
55.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,014 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ferguson
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ferguson
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ferguson
8.6
How Ferguson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 14%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 296Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.0%Housing insecurity
- 32.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.5%Food insecurity
- 50.0%SNAP enrollment
- 25.5%Transit barriers
- 15.3%No health insurance
- 24.2%Frequent mental distress
- 52.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ferguson
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the St. Louis County average of 42.0%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
SNAP participation runs 50.0% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 55%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 36.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $35,876 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.8 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.
At $1,014 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Ferguson commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189212702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212702?
Census tract 29189212702 in Ferguson scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189212702?
Median gross rent is $1,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212702?
55.3% of residents in tract 29189212702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,910.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 36th, minority 86th, housing 16th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189212702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189212702 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189212702 compare to Ferguson overall?
Tract 29189212702 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Ferguson at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ferguson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 29189212702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ferguson
Top eight tracts in Ferguson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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