Berdell Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normandy
Tract 29189212701 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,321 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
29189212701 is a census tract in the Berdell Hills area of Ferguson, MO. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,321 residents. Cost burden runs 65% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Normandy and the region
Centroid at 38.7310, -90.3044 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berdell Hills scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Berdell Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 41%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 360Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Berdell Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.6%Housing insecurity
- 24.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 35.0%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 46.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Berdell Hills
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. SNAP participation runs 35.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $39,819, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 29189212701
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212701?
What is the average rent in tract 29189212701?
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212701?
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212701?
Is tract 29189212701 considered part of Berdell Hills?
Did eviction filings in tract 29189212701 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 29189212701 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 29189212701 compare to Normandy overall?
Was tract 29189212701 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Normandy
Top eight tracts in Normandy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.