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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Berdell Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normandy

Tract 29189212701 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,321 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

29189212701 is a census tract in the Berdell Hills area of Ferguson, MO. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,321 residents. Cost burden runs 65% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 19% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,391
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$39,819

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Berdell Hills
Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Normandy
Low
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Normandy and the region

Centroid at 38.7310, -90.3044 · click any tract to drill in

Why Berdell Hills scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Normandy
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,112 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normandy
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normandy
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normandy
8.6

How Berdell Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Berdell Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 2127015.9Normandyparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 360Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.39×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Berdell Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Berdell Hills

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. SNAP participation runs 35.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $39,819, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189212701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212701?

Census tract 29189212701 in the Berdell Hills neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189212701?

Median gross rent is $1,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212701?

19.5% of residents in tract 29189212701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,321.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 97th, minority 89th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 29189212701 considered part of Berdell Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189212701 fall within Berdell Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189212701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189212701 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189212701 compare to Normandy overall?

Tract 29189212701 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Normandy at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normandy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29189212701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Normandy

Top eight tracts in Normandy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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