Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189218105 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,721 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Valley Park
With a score of $1/10, tract 29189218105 in Valley Park ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,721 residents. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,331 a month while the average household earns $57,899 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,328
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$57,899
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valley Park and the region
Centroid at 38.5658, -90.4856 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valley Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,331 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valley Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
How Valley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 47Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valley Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.60x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218105?
Census tract 29189218105 in Valley Park scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218105?
Median gross rent is $1,331/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218105?
7.1% of residents in tract 29189218105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,721.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 14th, minority 20th, housing 63th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218105 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189218105 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189218105 compare to Valley Park overall?
Tract 29189218105 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Valley Park at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valley Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valley Park
Top eight tracts in Valley Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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