Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189218102 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,993 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Valley Park
Valley Park in St. Louis County is where census tract 29189218102 sits, home to 2,993 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,562 monthly, set against $78,125 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,367
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$78,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valley Park and the region
Centroid at 38.5542, -90.5004 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valley Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,562 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valley Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
How Valley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2005)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 67Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valley Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.86x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2005.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218102?
Census tract 29189218102 in Valley Park scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218102?
Median gross rent is $1,562/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218102?
12.9% of residents in tract 29189218102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,993.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 56th, minority 34th, housing 18th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189218102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189218102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.34% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189218102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189218102 compare to Valley Park overall?
Tract 29189218102 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Valley Park at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valley Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valley Park
Top eight tracts in Valley Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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