Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189221426 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,881 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Valley Park
The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 29189221426 reflects conditions in Valley Park, Missouri. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,640 a month while the average household earns $95,878 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,162
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$95,878
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valley Park and the region
Centroid at 38.5355, -90.4839 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Park scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valley Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,640 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valley Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
How Valley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 22Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.4%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Park
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valley Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.81x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189221426
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189221426?
Census tract 29189221426 in Valley Park scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189221426?
Median gross rent is $2,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189221426?
4.4% of residents in tract 29189221426 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,881.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189221426?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 41th, minority 24th, housing 17th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189221426 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189221426 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189221426 compare to Valley Park overall?
Tract 29189221426 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Valley Park at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valley Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valley Park
Top eight tracts in Valley Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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