Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189221421 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 7,033 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Valley Park
29189221421 is a census tract in Valley Park, MO. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 14% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,481
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$135,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valley Park and the region
Centroid at 38.5216, -90.5481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valley Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,396 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valley Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
How Valley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 8 yrs
- 3.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.8%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 29Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Park
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 8 observed years.
The voucher gap is 14.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 11.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189221421
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189221421?
Census tract 29189221421 in Valley Park scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189221421?
Median gross rent is $1,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189221421?
1.7% of residents in tract 29189221421 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,033.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189221421?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 10th, minority 15th, housing 9th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189221421?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189221421 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.65% of renter households, peaking at 11.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189221421 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189221421 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189221421 compare to Valley Park overall?
Tract 29189221421 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Valley Park at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valley Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valley Park
Top eight tracts in Valley Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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