Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Park Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189218104 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,948 · 67% of tract blocks fall in Valley Park
Tract 29189218104 sits in Valley Park, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 1,948. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units785
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$63,862
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valley Park and the region
Centroid at 38.5551, -90.4675 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Park scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valley Park
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valley Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valley Park
6.0
How Valley Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 128Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.12×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 15.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 11.9%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Park
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the St. Louis County average of 42.0%.
Average gross rent is $1,238, 14% below the Valley Park average. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $63,862.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218104?
Census tract 29189218104 in Valley Park scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218104?
Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218104?
19.5% of residents in tract 29189218104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 22th, minority 42th, housing 36th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218104 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189218104 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189218104 compare to Valley Park overall?
Tract 29189218104 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Valley Park at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valley Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valley Park
Top eight tracts in Valley Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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