1 census tracts · pop 3,359 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Bakersville maps to a single census tract in Manchester, NH and houses 3,359 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Manchester rate of 30.0%.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Manchester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Gaslight District and Amoskeag Millyard score within a fraction of it.
Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,513, close to the Manchester average. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bakersville vs ManchesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bakersville
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.5%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility shutoff threat
22.6%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
14.4%No health insurance
32.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bakersville
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bakersville?
Bakersville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bakersville compare to Manchester overall?
Bakersville scores 1.4 points higher than Manchester overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,513 vs $1,564.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bakersville?
Average gross rent in Bakersville is $1,513/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bakersville residents are renters?
55% of Bakersville households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 3,359 residents.
Q5
Is Bakersville a high social-vulnerability area?
Bakersville sits in the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Bakersville for landlords?
Bakersville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Bakersville?
Bakersville has 3,529 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.8%), Hispanic / Latino (24.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
