Kalivas/Union Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Cost burden runs 71% here against 45.2% across Hillsborough County. Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $37,240, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.4/10.

Housing insecurity runs 29.8% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Manchester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.