Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

North End Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011000104 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,218 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 33011000104 belongs to the North End area of Manchester, New Hampshire. It is home to 3,218 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 42% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,862 a month against an average household income of $143,030 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,301

Renter share25.2%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate12.7%

Median income$143,030

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0155, -71.4576 · click any tract to drill in

Why North End scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

12.7% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,862 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How North End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
13%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

48%Grade A
19%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.2%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
6.6%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.4%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
22.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North End

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and in line with the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000104

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000104?

Census tract 33011000104 in the North End neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011000104?

Median gross rent is $1,862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000104?

12.7% of residents in tract 33011000104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,218.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 12th, minority 13th, housing 29th.

Is tract 33011000104 considered part of North End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000104 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011000104 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011000104 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000104 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011000104 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.