North End Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Cost burden runs roughly one in three here against 45.2% across Hillsborough County. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,771, 13% above the Manchester average. The voucher gap is 13.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $112,625.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.