Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

North End Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011000103 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 4,841 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the North End area of Manchester, census tract 33011000103 scores 4.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 18% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,771 monthly, set against $112,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 22% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units1,861

Renter share33.0%

SVI overall0.37

Poverty rate4.2%

Median income$112,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0281, -71.4662 · click any tract to drill in

Why North End scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

4.2% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$1,771 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How North End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

6%Grade A
3%Grade B
0%Grade C
12%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
5.4%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
24.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North End

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and below the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 12% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000103?

Census tract 33011000103 in the North End neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011000103?

Median gross rent is $1,771/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000103?

4.2% of residents in tract 33011000103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,841.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 17th, minority 29th, housing 59th.

Is tract 33011000103 considered part of North End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000103 fall within North End (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011000103 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011000103 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000103 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011000103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.