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Neighborhood · Manchester, NH

Northwest Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,086 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.5–4.9

Northwest spans 2 census tracts of Manchester, NH, population 9,086. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 52% against 30.0% citywide, putting Northwest 21.5% over its own city.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.6/10. This is a renter market: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 11.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.

Food insecurity affects 8.9% of adults, 8.9 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,740, 11% above the Manchester average of $1,564. Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Manchester, it ranks #15 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Hanover Hill and South End score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

With little internal variation, 4.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Northwest vs Manchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.5% +72%
Manchester: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,740 +11%
Manchester: $1,564
Average HH income
$75,559 -2%
Manchester: $77,415
Poverty rate
6.3% -41%
Manchester: 10.7%
Renter share
65.3% +27%
Manchester: 51.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northwest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–4.9

Why Northwest scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.9 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–7.0 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

Northwest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northwest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6NorthwestNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Northwest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
33011000203 4.9 3,393 64% $1,877
33011000204 4.5 5,693 44% $1,659
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 35%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northwest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northwest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northwest?

Northwest scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northwest compare to Manchester overall?

Northwest scores 0.6 points higher than Manchester overall (4/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,740 vs $1,564.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northwest?

Average gross rent in Northwest is $1,740/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northwest residents are renters?

65% of Northwest households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 9,086 residents.
Q5

Is Northwest a high social-vulnerability area?

Northwest sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northwest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northwest is census tract 33011000203 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 4.9, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Northwest for landlords?

Northwest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northwest?

Northwest has 9,218 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northwest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northwest.

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