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Neighborhood · Manchester, NH

Straw/Smyth Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 9,240 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–5.3

Straw/Smyth is a 3-tract neighborhood of Manchester, NH and houses 9,240 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.4 to 5.3. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation is 5.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 34% against 30.0% citywide, putting Straw/Smyth 3.6% over its own city. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.

Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,393, 11% below the Manchester average of $1,564.

That places it #18 of 22 neighborhoods in Manchester. The closest comparables inside the same city are North End and Lower South Willow/Airport.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Straw/Smyth vs Manchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.6% +12%
Manchester: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,393 -11%
Manchester: $1,564
Average HH income
$95,742 +24%
Manchester: $77,415
Poverty rate
3.9% -64%
Manchester: 10.7%
Renter share
44.0% -14%
Manchester: 51.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Straw/Smyth and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–5.3

Why Straw/Smyth scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
3.9% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.2 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–5.0 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Straw/Smyth vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Straw/Smyth score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0Straw/SmythNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Straw/Smyth?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 3.4 to 5.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Straw/Smyth

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
33011000600 5.3 2,304 43% $1,288
33011000901 3.6 3,759 32% $1,308
33011000700 3.4 3,177 29% $1,571
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Straw/Smyth

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Straw/Smyth

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Straw/Smyth?

Straw/Smyth scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Straw/Smyth compare to Manchester overall?

Straw/Smyth scores 0.0 points higher than Manchester overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,393 vs $1,564.
Q3

What is the average rent in Straw/Smyth?

Average gross rent in Straw/Smyth is $1,393/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Straw/Smyth residents are renters?

44% of Straw/Smyth households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 9,240 residents.
Q5

Is Straw/Smyth a high social-vulnerability area?

Straw/Smyth sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Straw/Smyth have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Straw/Smyth is census tract 33011000600 (score 5.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.3, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Straw/Smyth for landlords?

Straw/Smyth carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Straw/Smyth?

Straw/Smyth has 9,343 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Straw/Smyth

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Straw/Smyth.

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