Eviction Risk in Northwest , Manchester
Tract 33011000203 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,393 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 33011000203 sits in the Northwest neighborhood of Manchester, New Hampshire. It has a population of 3,393 and an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). 64% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 24% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,877/month against a median household income of $70,114 — roughly 32% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,405 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 3.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 82.6%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 1.2%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 8%
- Other / Multiracial 4.8%
How the 4.9/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 6.8 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.5 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.4 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.0 | Manchester (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 1.0 | Manchester (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 3.0 | Manchester (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 3.5 | Manchester (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.9 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 7.0 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northwest. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 11% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Manchester. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 11.2%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 33011000203
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000203?
Census tract 33011000203 in the Northwest neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 33011000203?
Median gross rent is $1,877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000203?
7.6% of residents in tract 33011000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,393.
How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 51th, minority 28th, housing 38th.
Is tract 33011000203 considered part of Northwest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000203 fall within Northwest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 33011000203 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 33011000203 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 11% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Manchester. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.