Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Northwest Eviction Risk: Lower , Manchester

Tract 33011000203 · Hillsborough County, NH · pop 3,393 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 33011000203 covers the Northwest neighborhood of Manchester, home to 3,393 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 35th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,877 monthly, set against $70,114 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 25% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,876

Renter share69.5%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate7.6%

Median income$70,114

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchester and the region

Centroid at 43.0264, -71.4843 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northwest scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Manchester

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

New Hampshire legislature & governorship

2.5

Economic stress

7.6% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,877 rent vs county FMR

7.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Manchester

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Manchester

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Manchester

3.5

How Northwest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
28%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northwest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
15.7%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northwest

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 4.7 and in line with the New Hampshire statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 33011000203

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33011000203?

Census tract 33011000203 in the Northwest neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 33011000203?

Median gross rent is $1,877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 33011000203?

7.6% of residents in tract 33011000203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,393.

How socially vulnerable is tract 33011000203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 51th, minority 28th, housing 38th.

Is tract 33011000203 considered part of Northwest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33011000203 fall within Northwest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 33011000203 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 33011000203 compare to Manchester overall?

Tract 33011000203 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 33011000203 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Manchester

Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.