University Heights Eviction Risk: High , Newark

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,007 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 27.8% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

SNAP participation runs 27.6% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,120 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of East Orange commands. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 763 evictions over 6 years of observation.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.