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Neighborhood · Sayreville, NJ

Townelake at Sayreville Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,651 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Townelake at Sayreville is a one-tract neighborhood of Sayreville, NJ and houses 4,651 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $2,504, 46% above the Sayreville average of $1,711.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 28% of renter households.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. Court records for this tract carry 10 eviction filings.

The voucher gap is 15.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 10%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. SNAP participation is 5.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 3.3% of renter households. Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Sayreville, it ranks #10 by risk, the lower third. At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

For a like-for-like read, Laurel Park and Winding River score within a fraction of it.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Townelake at Sayreville vs Sayreville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.3% -9%
Sayreville: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$2,504 +46%
Sayreville: $1,711
Average HH income
$138,727 +41%
Sayreville: $98,629
Poverty rate
4.3% -28%
Sayreville: 6.0%
Renter share
13.2% -64%
Sayreville: 37.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Townelake at Sayreville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Townelake at Sayreville scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
4.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Risk score comparison

Townelake at Sayreville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Townelake at Sayreville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Townelake at SayreNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Townelake at Sayreville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
34023007102 5.1 4,651 28% $2,504
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 33

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Townelake at Sayreville

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings (sum)
  • 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 3.32%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Townelake at Sayreville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Townelake at Sayreville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Townelake at Sayreville?

Townelake at Sayreville scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Townelake at Sayreville compare to Sayreville overall?

Townelake at Sayreville scores 1.2 points lower than Sayreville overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,504 vs $1,711.
Q3

What is the average rent in Townelake at Sayreville?

Average gross rent in Townelake at Sayreville eviction risk is $2,504/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Townelake at Sayreville residents are renters?

13% of Townelake at Sayreville households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Sayreville). The neighborhood has 4,651 residents.
Q5

Is Townelake at Sayreville a high social-vulnerability area?

Townelake at Sayreville sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Townelake at Sayreville for landlords?

Townelake at Sayreville eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sayreville as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Townelake at Sayreville?

Townelake at Sayreville has 4,733 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.7%), Hispanic / Latino (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Townelake at Sayreville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sayreville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Townelake at Sayreville.

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