Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34039032002 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,132
Census tract 34039032002 covers Elizabeth, home to 5,132 residents. For landlords it grades 6.9/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,698 a month while the average household earns $79,313 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,549
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$79,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6564, -74.2292 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 38%Grade B
- 46%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 422Total filings over 4 yrs
- 14.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.3%Peak (2013)
- 93Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.1%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 27.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039032002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032002?
Census tract 34039032002 in Elizabeth scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039032002?
Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032002?
2.6% of residents in tract 34039032002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,132.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 85th, minority 81th, housing 74th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039032002?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 422 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039032002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.47% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039032002 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039032002 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039032002 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039032002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031904
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031400
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031100
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
7.9
/ 10 · High
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