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Census Tract · Ranked #798 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34039031802 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,483

How risky is Elizabeth in Union County for landlords? Census tract 34039031802 scores 7.5/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #1,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,330 a month while the average household earns $37,256 a year, roughly 43% of income at the averages. About 97% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68% Stable renters 29% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share96.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$37,256

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 31 tracts In Elizabeth
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#798 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region

Centroid at 40.6716, -74.2230 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,330 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0

How Elizabeth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elizabeth risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.78.7This tracttract 031802Elizabeth: 8.28.2Elizabethparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 712Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 18.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.9%Peak (2013)
  • 176Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390318022013: 216 filings (24.88/100 renter HHs)2016: 175 filings (17.22/100 renter HHs)2017: 145 filings (14.27/100 renter HHs)2018: 176 filings (17.32/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Union County average of 6.6 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039031802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031802?

Census tract 34039031802 in Elizabeth scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039031802?

Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031802?

25.8% of residents in tract 34039031802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 79th, minority 93th, housing 92th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031802?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 712 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.42% of renter households, peaking at 24.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039031802 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34039031802 compare to Elizabeth overall?

Tract 34039031802 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34039031802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth

Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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