Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039030701 · Union County, NJ · pop 2,093
34039030701 is a census tract in Elizabeth, NJ. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,093 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units703
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$67,260
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6496, -74.2222 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,560 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.6%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.8%Food insecurity
- 18.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 26.9%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
It sits 2.5 points above the Union County average of 6.6. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.9% against 11.3% nationally.
This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Against Union County at 44.6%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 108 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 8.6% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039030701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039030701?
Census tract 34039030701 in Elizabeth scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039030701?
Median gross rent is $1,560/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039030701?
18.4% of residents in tract 34039030701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,093.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039030701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 73th, minority 84th, housing 41th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039030701?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039030701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.51% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039030701 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039030701 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039030701 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039030701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031903
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039030704
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031904
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031100
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031200
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031301
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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