Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039031700 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,076
34039031700 is a census tract in Elizabeth, NJ. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,076. Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units2,243
Renter share86.4%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$50,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6768, -74.2174 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 51%Grade A
- 33%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,792Total filings over 4 yrs
- 25.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.4%Peak (2013)
- 411Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.2%Housing insecurity
- 16.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.0%Food insecurity
- 24.6%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 24.7%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.7% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,222 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Elizabeth commands.
Cost burden runs 51% here against 44.6% across Union County. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,792 filings here across 4 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 31.4% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039031700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031700?
Census tract 34039031700 in Elizabeth scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039031700?
Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031700?
18.5% of residents in tract 34039031700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,076.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 82th, minority 90th, housing 94th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,792 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.03% of renter households, peaking at 31.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039031700 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039031700 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039031700 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039031700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031301
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039039900
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031400
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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