Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
Elizabeth Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34039031400 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,109
With a score of 9.1/10, tract 34039031400 in Elizabeth, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,109 residents. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,990
Renter share84.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$52,133
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elizabeth and the region
Centroid at 40.6718, -74.2085 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elizabeth scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,398 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elizabeth
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elizabeth
7.0
How Elizabeth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,429Total filings over 4 yrs
- 28.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.6%Peak (2013)
- 333Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.2%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.8%Food insecurity
- 28.9%SNAP enrollment
- 18.7%Transit barriers
- 28.4%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth
Cost burden runs 60% here against 44.6% across Union County. Against the Union County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Housing insecurity runs 32.2% against 14.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $52,133, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
SNAP participation runs 28.9% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
Court records carry 1,429 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 33.6% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34039031400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039031400?
Census tract 34039031400 in Elizabeth scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34039031400?
Median gross rent is $1,398/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34039031400?
26.7% of residents in tract 34039031400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,109.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34039031400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 96th, minority 95th, housing 87th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039031400?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,429 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039031400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.82% of renter households, peaking at 33.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34039031400 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34039031400 compare to Elizabeth overall?
Tract 34039031400 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Elizabeth at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elizabeth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34039031400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elizabeth
Top eight tracts in Elizabeth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34039031301
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039039900
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031700
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Port Ivory
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Gulfport
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34039031802
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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