Capitol Hill Eviction Risk: High

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 37% against 30.8% citywide, putting Capitol Hill 6.5% over its own city. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. 16.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 28.2% of adults, 10.4 points above the national rate. At $1,089 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Albany commands.

That places it #1 of 21 neighborhoods in Albany. The closest comparables inside the same city are Downtown and South End. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $48,259.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.