Washington Square Eviction Risk: High

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Average gross rent is $744, 39% below the Albany average of $1,216. The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

SNAP participation is 39.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10.

21.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Albany, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, South End and Pine Hills score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 9.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.