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Saddle Rock Estates, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 485 residents

Saddle Rock Estates, NY Eviction Risk: HIGH

Bronx County · Population 485

In 2026
Risk score
8.3
HIGH

77th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.2 Average5.7 Now8.3
9.9 3.2 1976 · score 3.5 1977 · score 3.5 1978 · score 3.5 1979 · score 3.5 1980 · score 3.5 1981 · score 3.5 1982 · score 3.5 1983 · score 3.6 1984 · score 3.4 1985 · score 3.4 1986 · score 3.3 1987 · score 3.2 1988 · score 3.7 1989 · score 3.8 1990 · score 3.9 1991 · score 4.1 1992 · score 4.7 1993 · score 4.7 1994 · score 4.7 1995 · score 4.7 1996 · score 5.3 1997 · score 5.4 1998 · score 5.5 1999 · score 5.5 2000 · score 5.5 2001 · score 5.5 2002 · score 5.7 2003 · score 5.7 2004 · score 5.7 2005 · score 5.6 2006 · score 5.6 2007 · score 5.7 2008 · score 6.3 2009 · score 6.6 2010 · score 6.7 2011 · score 6.8 2012 · score 6.9 2013 · score 6.9 2014 · score 6.9 2015 · score 6.9 2016 · score 7.1 2017 · score 7.2 2018 · score 7.2 2019 · score 8.2 2020 · score 9.9 2021 · score 9.9 2022 · score 9.1 2023 · score 8.7 2024 · score 8.9 2025 · score 8.4 2026 · score 8.3

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.5 Regional 8.5 State 7.3 Economic 4.7 Supply 1.0 Rent Control 5.2 Eviction 6.8 Tenant 1.0 Housing 4.6 8.3 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +45.4% (2024)
    8.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.5
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    23.1% poverty · 6.3% unemp.
    4.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,018 average · 45.4% renters
    1.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.0% of income on rent
    5.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    385 days filing → judgment
    6.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    45.4% renters
    1.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Saddle Rock Estates and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Saddle Rock Estates compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Bronx County
Low
#6 of 8 cities
Rank in county, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 cities in Bronx County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Elevated
#375 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 71st percentileLowHigh
#375 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Saddle Rock Estates risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Saddle Rock Estate: 8.38.3Saddle Rock EstateThis cityCounty: 8.68.6Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.3
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8.3/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 385d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,018/mo. A contested eviction takes 385 days and costs $21,455–$37,177 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 45.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 485 residents, 45.4% rent. 32% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 23.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.5 and 8.5 (Dem margin +45.4% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.8, housing court bias 4.6, rent-control risk 5.2. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.7. Supply constraint: 1. The numbers behind those: 23.1% poverty, 6.3% unemployment, 32% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Saddle Rock Estates sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Brentwood, NY · 378d · ~$31.4k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.3 Brentwood White Plains, NY · 384d · ~$30.7k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.3 White Plains Hempstead, NY · 418d · ~$32.6k all-in ($78/day) · score 9.4 Hempstead Levittown, NY · 387d · ~$30.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Levittown Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Saddle Rock Estates
Saddle Rock Estates · 385d · ~$29.3k all-in ($76/day) · score 8.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Saddle Rock Estates, NY

Landlording in Saddle Rock Estates, New York, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.3/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Saddle Rock Estates is a city of 485 residents where 45.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,018/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Saddle Rock Estates eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Saddle Rock Estates closes 385 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Saddle Rock Estates's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Saddle Rock Estates runs $21,455 to $37,177 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 385 days of typical timeline and $2,018/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 1/10 in Saddle Rock Estates, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Saddle Rock Estates: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $37,177 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Saddle Rock Estates

Trap · HSTPA 2019 + GOOD CAUSE 2024
Compare Saddle Rock Estates to nearby cities in Bronx County via the related-cities grid below. Each municipality scores separately on the same nine sub-factors. State context: HSTPA 2019 + Good Cause 2024.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the biggest risk for landlords in Saddle Rock Estates?

The biggest risk is the extremely long eviction timeline, averaging 385 days, combined with the high associated costs ($21,455, $37,177). This means over a year of lost rent and significant legal fees, making it very difficult to recover financially from a problem tenant.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Saddle Rock Estates for any reason?

New York does not have a statewide "just-cause" eviction requirement for market-rate units, which generally applies to Saddle Rock Estates. However, you still need to provide proper notice (e.g., 30-day for no-cause termination), and the process itself remains lengthy and complex. You cannot evict for discriminatory reasons or in retaliation.

Q3

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Saddle Rock Estates?

In New York, including Saddle Rock Estates, the security deposit is capped at one month's rent. Any amount over this is illegal. You must also return the deposit within 14 days of the tenant vacating, with an itemized list of any deductions.

Q4

Is "cash for keys" legal in New York?

Yes, "cash for keys" is legal in New York. It's a voluntary agreement where you offer a tenant money in exchange for them voluntarily vacating the property and surrendering possession. This can be a strategic move to avoid the lengthy and expensive formal eviction process.

Q5

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Saddle Rock Estates?

While you can technically represent yourself in housing court, it is highly recommended to hire an attorney for an eviction in Saddle Rock Estates. The process is complex, and procedural errors can lead to significant delays and costs. Given the high stakes (over $21,000 and a year of lost rent), legal expertise is a sound investment.

Q6

Are there any rent control rules in Saddle Rock Estates?

Saddle Rock Estates, being a small community, is unlikely to have rent-controlled or rent-stabilized units. These typically apply to larger cities and older buildings. However, New York State does have broader tenant protections. For more specific information, consult our New York rent control rules page.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.3/10 places Saddle Rock Estates in the 77th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.