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Fredonia, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 9,467 residents

Fredonia, NY Eviction Risk: HIGH

Chautauqua County · Population 9,467

In 2026
Risk score
7.8
HIGH

35th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min3.0 Average5.3 Now7.8
9.2 3.0 1976 · score 3.1 1977 · score 3.1 1978 · score 3.1 1979 · score 3.0 1980 · score 3.1 1981 · score 3.1 1982 · score 3.1 1983 · score 3.1 1984 · score 3.0 1985 · score 3.0 1986 · score 3.0 1987 · score 3.0 1988 · score 3.3 1989 · score 3.4 1990 · score 3.5 1991 · score 3.7 1992 · score 4.2 1993 · score 4.3 1994 · score 4.3 1995 · score 4.3 1996 · score 4.9 1997 · score 5.0 1998 · score 5.1 1999 · score 5.2 2000 · score 5.2 2001 · score 5.3 2002 · score 5.5 2003 · score 5.6 2004 · score 5.5 2005 · score 5.5 2006 · score 5.5 2007 · score 5.6 2008 · score 6.2 2009 · score 6.5 2010 · score 6.7 2011 · score 6.8 2012 · score 6.8 2013 · score 6.7 2014 · score 6.8 2015 · score 6.8 2016 · score 6.9 2017 · score 6.9 2018 · score 6.8 2019 · score 7.8 2020 · score 9.2 2021 · score 8.8 2022 · score 8.2 2023 · score 7.8 2024 · score 8.0 2025 · score 7.8 2026 · score 7.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.6 Regional 4.6 State 7.3 Economic 7.0 Supply 6.6 Rent Control 9.4 Eviction 6.5 Tenant 8.5 Housing 9.0 7.8 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +22.0% (2024)
    4.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.6
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    24.0% poverty · 3.6% unemp.
    7.0
  5. Supply constraint
    $878 average · 46.4% renters
    6.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    43.7% of income on rent
    9.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    414 days filing → judgment
    6.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    46.4% renters
    8.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    9.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fredonia and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Fredonia compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Chautauqua County
Elevated
#10 of 24 cities
Rank in county, 61st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 24 cities in Chautauqua County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
Low
#883 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 31st percentileLowHigh
#883 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Fredonia risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Fredonia: 7.87.8FredoniaThis cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.8
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.8/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 414d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $878/mo. A contested eviction takes 414 days and costs $18,427–$40,222 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 46.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 9,467 residents, 46.4% rent. 44% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 24.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.6 and 4.6 (GOP margin +22.0% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.5, housing court bias 9, rent-control risk 9.4. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 7. Supply constraint: 6.6. The numbers behind those: 24.0% poverty, 3.6% unemployment, 44% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Fredonia sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Cheektowaga, NY · 374d · ~$26.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 7.9 Cheektowaga Tonawanda Town, NY · 372d · ~$28.5k all-in ($77/day) · score 8 Tonawanda Town New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Syracuse, NY · 383d · ~$30.9k all-in ($81/day) · score 8.7 Syracuse Albany, NY · 431d · ~$28.5k all-in ($66/day) · score 9.8 Albany New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Fredonia
Fredonia · 414d · ~$29.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Fredonia, NY

Landlording in Fredonia, New York, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.8/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Fredonia is a city of 9,467 residents where 46.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 43.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $878/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Fredonia eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Fredonia closes 414 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Fredonia's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Fredonia runs $18,427 to $40,222 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 414 days of typical timeline and $878/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.5/10 in Fredonia, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Fredonia: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $40,222 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Fredonia

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 414 days and roughly $40,222 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $16,088 to $24,133 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under HSTPA 2019 + Good Cause 2024.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I turn off utilities if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. In New York, doing so is considered an illegal lockout and can lead to severe penalties, including fines and the tenant being able to sue you for damages. You must follow the legal eviction process.

Q2

What if my tenant damages the property during the eviction process?

You can pursue the tenant for damages in a separate small claims court action after they've been evicted. However, collecting on such a judgment can be difficult. Your security deposit is your primary protection against damages, but it's capped at one month's rent in New York.

Q3

Can I evict a tenant without a written lease in Fredonia?

Yes, you can. If there's no written lease, the tenancy is typically considered month-to-month. You'll still need to provide proper notice (usually 30 days for a no-cause termination) and follow the full eviction process through the courts if the tenant doesn't move out. The lack of a written lease can make proving terms more challenging, so it's always better to have one.

Q4

How often do evictions actually go to court in Fredonia?

Many non-payment issues are resolved before court through communication or cash-for-keys agreements. However, given the high rent-to-income ratio and tenant protections, a significant number of unresolved cases do proceed to court. Our 6.9/10 risk score indicates that court proceedings are a real and frequent possibility for landlords here. For more insights on the local situation, check our Chautauqua County eviction guide.

Q5

What is the most common mistake landlords make during an eviction in New York?

The most common mistake is not following the strict legal procedures precisely. This includes improper notice service, accepting partial rent after serving a pay-or-quit notice, or attempting self-help evictions (like changing locks). Any of these can lead to your case being dismissed, forcing you to start over and costing you more time and money.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.8/10 places Fredonia in the 35th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.