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Smyrna, New York eviction risk overview
City brief · 148 residents

Smyrna, NY Eviction Risk: HIGH

Chenango County · Population 148

In 2026
Risk score
8.4
HIGH

84th percentile, New York.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.9 Average5.4 Now8.4
9.7 2.9 1976 · score 3.0 1977 · score 3.0 1978 · score 3.0 1979 · score 3.0 1980 · score 3.0 1981 · score 3.0 1982 · score 3.0 1983 · score 3.0 1984 · score 2.9 1985 · score 2.9 1986 · score 3.0 1987 · score 2.9 1988 · score 3.2 1989 · score 3.3 1990 · score 3.4 1991 · score 3.6 1992 · score 4.1 1993 · score 4.2 1994 · score 4.2 1995 · score 4.2 1996 · score 4.8 1997 · score 4.9 1998 · score 5.0 1999 · score 5.0 2000 · score 5.3 2001 · score 5.4 2002 · score 5.6 2003 · score 5.6 2004 · score 5.6 2005 · score 5.6 2006 · score 5.6 2007 · score 5.7 2008 · score 6.3 2009 · score 6.6 2010 · score 6.7 2011 · score 6.8 2012 · score 6.9 2013 · score 7.0 2014 · score 7.0 2015 · score 7.1 2016 · score 7.2 2017 · score 7.2 2018 · score 7.2 2019 · score 8.1 2020 · score 9.7 2021 · score 9.4 2022 · score 8.6 2023 · score 8.1 2024 · score 8.8 2025 · score 8.5 2026 · score 8.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.5 Regional 4.5 State 7.3 Economic 8.5 Supply 7.6 Rent Control 8.7 Eviction 7.3 Tenant 8.3 Housing 8.5 8.4 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +27.2% (2024)
    4.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.5
  3. State political climate
    New York legislature & governorship
    7.3
  4. Economic stress
    22.7% poverty · 9.3% unemp.
    8.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $925 average · 49.2% renters
    7.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.5% of income on rent
    8.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    411 days filing → judgment
    7.3
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    49.2% renters
    8.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    8.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Smyrna compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Chenango County
Very High
#2 of 11 cities
Rank in county, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 cities in Chenango County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New York
High
#279 of 1,285 cities
Rank in state, 78th percentileLowHigh
#279 of 1,285 cities in New York for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Smyrna risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Smyrna: 8.48.4SmyrnaThis cityCounty: 8.28.2Countyavg in countyState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.4
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8.4/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 411d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $925/mo. A contested eviction takes 411 days and costs $17,442–$40,907 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 49.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 148 residents, 49.2% rent. 33% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 22.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.5 and 4.5 (GOP margin +27.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.3, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.3
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 7.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.3, housing court bias 8.5, rent-control risk 8.7. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.5. Supply constraint: 7.6. The numbers behind those: 22.7% poverty, 9.3% unemployment, 33% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Smyrna sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Syracuse, NY · 383d · ~$30.9k all-in ($81/day) · score 8.7 Syracuse Utica, NY · 406d · ~$30.3k all-in ($75/day) · score 8.1 Utica New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Buffalo, NY · 428d · ~$30.3k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.4 Buffalo Yonkers, NY · 381d · ~$27.5k all-in ($72/day) · score 9.9 Yonkers Rochester, NY · 430d · ~$32.0k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.1 Rochester Albany, NY · 431d · ~$28.5k all-in ($66/day) · score 9.8 Albany New Rochelle, NY · 429d · ~$27.9k all-in ($65/day) · score 9.5 New Rochelle Cheektowaga, NY · 374d · ~$26.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 7.9 Cheektowaga Mount Vernon, NY · 398d · ~$29.6k all-in ($74/day) · score 9.5 Mount Vernon Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Smyrna
Smyrna · 411d · ~$29.2k all-in ($71/day) · score 8.4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Smyrna, NY

Landlording in Smyrna, New York, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.4/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Smyrna is a city of 148 residents where 49.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $925/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Smyrna eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.3/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Smyrna closes 411 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Smyrna's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 8.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Smyrna runs $17,442 to $40,907 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 411 days of typical timeline and $925/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.3/10 in Smyrna, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New York, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Smyrna: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New York's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $40,907 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Smyrna

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 411 days and roughly $40,907 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $16,362 to $24,544 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Tenant defenses available under HSTPA 2019 + Good Cause 2024 can extend this materially.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for any reason in Smyrna?

No. While there's no statewide "just-cause" requirement, you must have a legal reason like non-payment of rent, lease violations, or the expiration of a fixed-term lease. You cannot evict a tenant without cause from a month-to-month tenancy without proper notice (usually 30 days) and without it being retaliatory or discriminatory.
Q2

How long does the 14-day notice period really take?

The 14-day notice is just the initial step. It sets the clock for the tenant to pay or leave. If they don't, you then have to file in court. The court process itself is what takes the bulk of the 411 days. The 14 days themselves are strict, but they're only the beginning of the legal timeline.
Q3

What if my tenant damages the property beyond the security deposit amount?

You can sue the tenant for damages exceeding the security deposit. However, collecting on such a judgment can be very difficult, especially if the tenant has limited assets or moves out of state. Prevention through thorough screening and a robust lease is always better than chasing damages after the fact.
Q4

Is it true New York has rent control?

New York does have rent control rules, primarily in New York City and some surrounding areas. Smyrna (and Chenango County) is not currently subject to these strict rent control laws. However, the risk of rent control expanding is a factor in the state's overall high risk score (Smyrna's rent-control-risk sub-score is 8.7/10), so stay informed about legislative changes.
Q5

When should I absolutely call an attorney?

Call an attorney as soon as a tenant fails to pay rent after the initial notice period, or if they commit a serious lease violation. Do not wait until you're deep into the court process. An attorney can ensure your notices are correct, your filings are proper, and represent you effectively in court, which is crucial given the high housing court bias against landlords in New York.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.4/10 places Smyrna in the 84th percentile of New York cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.