Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

RiverBend Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029000200 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,217 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 36029000200 covers part of the RiverBend area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,217 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

8.8

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 30% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,756

Renter share51.9%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate14.8%

Median income$48,585

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.8528, -78.8279 · click any tract to drill in

Why RiverBend scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

14.8% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$836 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How RiverBend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
72%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
6%Grade B
44%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within RiverBend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.3%Housing insecurity
10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
18.7%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in RiverBend

It sits 2.0 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. At $836 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Buffalo commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $48,585.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029000200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029000200?

Census tract 36029000200 in the RiverBend neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029000200?

Median gross rent is $836/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029000200?

14.8% of residents in tract 36029000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,217.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 40th, minority 52th, housing 72th.

Is tract 36029000200 considered part of RiverBend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029000200 fall within RiverBend (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029000200 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029000200 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.