Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029008201 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,746
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 36029008201 in Tonawanda Town, NY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,225
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$74,712
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tonawanda Town and the region
Centroid at 42.9900, -78.8787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tonawanda Town scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda Town
4.1
How Tonawanda Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda Town
Against Erie County at 44.6%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.3/10. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10.
It sits 1.2 points below the Erie County average of 6.8. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $74,712, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Average gross rent is $1,078, close to the Tonawanda Town average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029008201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029008201?
Census tract 36029008201 in Tonawanda Town scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029008201?
Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029008201?
9.3% of residents in tract 36029008201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,746.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029008201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 69th, minority 23th, housing 38th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029008201 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029008201 compare to Tonawanda Town overall?
Tract 36029008201 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda Town at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda Town
Top eight tracts in Tonawanda Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NY
36029008300
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008202
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008101
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008400
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
University Heights
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
North Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NY
36029008001
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NY
36029008102
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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