Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

Elmwood Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

7 census tracts · pop 20,864 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 5.5–7.6

Elmwood Village is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Buffalo with 7 census tracts and a population of 20,864 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,083/month sits 4% higher than the Buffalo citywide average ($1,046).

Risk score

Elevated

7 tracts · population-weighted

Elmwood Village vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.5% +13%

Buffalo: 31.4%

Average gross rent

$1,083 +4%

Buffalo: $1,046

Average HH income

$72,718 +51%

Buffalo: $48,050

Poverty rate

13.5% -51%

Buffalo: 27.4%

Renter share

51.4% -10%

Buffalo: 57.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Elmwood Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 5.5–7.6

Why Elmwood Village scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

51% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

13.5% below poverty line · Range 2.3–5.3 across tracts

3.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–6.6 across tracts

5.1

Risk score comparison

Elmwood Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Elmwood Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.1 points from 5.5 to 7.6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

7.6 7.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.5 5.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

7 tracts in Elmwood Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
36029016802	7.6	2,008	31%	$889
36029006301	7.5	4,702	33%	$1,364
36029016900	7	4,659	49%	$1,152
36029006501	7	2,886	32%	$1,182
36029006602	7	2,381	48%	$1,095
36029006302	6.5	2,404	39%	$1,257
36029980000	5.5	1,824	—	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 12%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 62%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elmwood Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

12.9%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
22.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Elmwood Village

What is the eviction-risk score for Elmwood Village?

Elmwood Village scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Elmwood Village compare to Buffalo overall?

Elmwood Village scores 2.4 points lower than Buffalo overall (9.4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,083 vs $1,046.

What is the average rent in Elmwood Village?

Average gross rent in Elmwood Village is $1,083/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Elmwood Village residents are renters?

51% of Elmwood Village households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 20,864 residents.

Is Elmwood Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Elmwood Village sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Elmwood Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Elmwood Village is census tract 36029016802 (score 7.6/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 7.6, a spread of 2.1 points.

How safe is Elmwood Village for landlords?

Elmwood Village carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (9.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Elmwood Village?

Elmwood Village has 20,747 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.6%), Hispanic / Latino (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Elmwood Village

7.7 Five Points 5 tracts · pop 15,401 7.8 Parkside 6 tracts · pop 17,694 7.8 Allentown 3 tracts · pop 7,119 9 Upper West Side 2 tracts · pop 9,239 8.9 Fruit Belt 8 tracts · pop 17,287 8.9 Lower West Side 3 tracts · pop 7,192

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elmwood Village.

7.1 University Heights 5 tracts · pop 19,286 7.2 Central Park 2 tracts · pop 8,913 7.2 Kaisertown 9 tracts · pop 29,760 6.5 South Buffalo 1 tracts · pop 4,418 7.5 Kensington 11 tracts · pop 41,070 6.4 North Park 8 tracts · pop 30,073

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