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Neighborhood · New York, NY

Baychester Eviction Risk: High

9 census tracts · pop 31,226 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.2/10 · range 8.2–8.6

Baychester takes in 9 census tracts of New York, NY and houses 31,226 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.2/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 31.3% citywide, putting Baychester 19.1% over its own city.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.4/10.

Filings are well documented here: 1,130 across 8 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 15.0% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $2,030, 11% above the New York average of $1,821. That places it #261 of 289 neighborhoods in New York. Judgments average 1.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Richmond and Union Square score within a fraction of it. Its 9 tracts score within 0.4 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $100,689. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 8.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.2
High
9 tracts · population-weighted
Baychester vs New York How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.4% +61%
New York: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$2,030 +11%
New York: $1,821
Average HH income
$100,689 +26%
New York: $79,713
Poverty rate
9.4% -46%
New York: 17.4%
Renter share
38.0% -43%
New York: 67.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baychester and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 8.2–8.6

Why Baychester scores 8.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
9.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.5 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.2 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Baychester vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Baychester score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.2BaychesterNeighborhood8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Baychester?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 8.2 to 8.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Baychester

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
36005031600 8.6 1,907 50% $1,662
36005035800 8.2 7,781 42% $1,786
36005046208 8.2 5,483 59% $2,303
36005031000 8.2 4,572 29% $2,557
36005036000 8.2 3,176 73% $1,639
36005031400 8.2 2,244 40% $1,780
36005035600 8.2 2,195 49% $1,955
36005035000 8.2 2,093 96% $1,911
36005031200 8.2 1,775 37% $2,545
Frequently asked

About Baychester

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Baychester?

Baychester scores 8.2/10 (High tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Baychester compare to New York overall?

Baychester scores 1.4 points lower than New York overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,030 vs $1,821.
Q3

What is the average rent in Baychester?

Average gross rent in Baychester is $2,030/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Baychester residents are renters?

38% of Baychester households are renter-occupied (vs 67% in New York). The neighborhood has 31,226 residents.
Q5

Which tracts in Baychester have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Baychester is census tract 36005031600 (score 8.6/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.2 to 8.6, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q6

How safe is Baychester for landlords?

Baychester carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.2/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New York as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Baychester?

Baychester has 29,556 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (52.1%), Hispanic / Latino (27.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Baychester

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside New York

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Baychester.

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