2 census tracts · pop 4,386 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.5/10
· range 9.5–9.5
Dutchtown is a 2-tract neighborhood of Rochester, NY and houses 4,386 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.5/10, in the High tier. 45% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Against a Rochester baseline of 32.0%, 66% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. 30.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 54%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average household income of $28,212 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is a renter market: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Disability prevalence reaches 47.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.6/10. Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Mayor's Heights and Beechwood score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 9.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.5
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Dutchtown vs RochesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dutchtown
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
40.1%Housing insecurity
30.1%Utility shutoff threat
52.1%Food insecurity
58.3%SNAP enrollment
18.6%No health insurance
46.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Dutchtown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Dutchtown?
Dutchtown scores 9.5/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Dutchtown compare to Rochester overall?
Dutchtown scores 1.4 points higher than Rochester overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,087 vs $1,081.
Q3
What is the average rent in Dutchtown?
Average gross rent in Dutchtown is $1,087/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Dutchtown residents are renters?
74% of Dutchtown households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 4,386 residents.
Q5
Is Dutchtown a high social-vulnerability area?
Dutchtown sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Dutchtown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Dutchtown is census tract 36055009605 (score 9.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.5 to 9.5, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Dutchtown for landlords?
Dutchtown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Dutchtown?
Dutchtown has 4,074 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), Hispanic / Latino (35.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
