Genesee-Jefferson Eviction Risk: High

SNAP participation is 47.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity affects 42.3% of adults, 24.5 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10.

Running hot is economic stress at 8.6/10. At $898 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Rochester commands. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.