The Hamlet on Olde Oyster Bay Eviction Risk: Elevated

The voucher gap is 35.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

On the high side is supply constraint at 8.5/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 3.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $212,591, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $3,501, close to the Plainview average.

One tract means one number: 6.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.