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Neighborhood · Syracuse, NY

Outer Comstock Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 3,339 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10 · range 8.8–8.8

Outer Comstock maps to a single census tract in Syracuse, NY, population 3,339. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.8/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 61% against 32.9% citywide, putting Outer Comstock 27.9% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. That places it #15 of 26 neighborhoods in Syracuse. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,027, close to the Syracuse average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Outer Comstock vs Syracuse How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.8% +85%
Syracuse: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,027 -1%
Syracuse: $1,039
Average HH income
$37,345 -19%
Syracuse: $45,845
Poverty rate
12.5% -58%
Syracuse: 29.6%
Renter share
80.0% +37%
Syracuse: 58.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Outer Comstock and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.8–8.8

Why Outer Comstock scores 8.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
80% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
12.5% below poverty line · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Outer Comstock vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Outer Comstock score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.8Outer ComstockNeighborhood7.7Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Outer Comstock

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36067005500 8.8 3,339 61% $1,027
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Outer Comstock

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Outer Comstock

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Outer Comstock?

Outer Comstock scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Outer Comstock compare to Syracuse overall?

Outer Comstock scores 1.1 points higher than Syracuse overall (7.7/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,027 vs $1,039.
Q3

What is the average rent in Outer Comstock?

Average gross rent in Outer Comstock is $1,027/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Outer Comstock residents are renters?

80% of Outer Comstock households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Syracuse). The neighborhood has 3,339 residents.
Q5

Is Outer Comstock a high social-vulnerability area?

Outer Comstock sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Outer Comstock for landlords?

Outer Comstock carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Syracuse as a whole (7.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Outer Comstock?

Outer Comstock has 3,441 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.9%), Hispanic / Latino (9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Outer Comstock

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Syracuse

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Outer Comstock.

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