Shirley Eviction Risk: Elevated

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,566, 25% above the Shirley average.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.