Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Shirley Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103159513 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,992
With a score of 6.9/10, tract 36103159513 in Shirley, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,992 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,616
Renter share3.0%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$93,088
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shirley and the region
Centroid at 40.7901, -72.8730 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shirley scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shirley
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,444 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shirley
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shirley
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shirley
7.0
How Shirley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 11.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shirley
Cost burden runs 83% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
At $2,444 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Shirley commands. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. It sits 0.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3.
Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $93,088.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103159513
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159513?
Census tract 36103159513 in Shirley scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103159513?
Median gross rent is $2,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159513?
2.2% of residents in tract 36103159513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,992.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159513?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 25th, minority 47th, housing 27th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103159513 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103159513 compare to Shirley overall?
Tract 36103159513 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Shirley at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shirley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shirley
Top eight tracts in Shirley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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