Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Shirley Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103159517 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,657
Tract 36103159517 sits in Shirley eviction risk, NY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. Population here is 3,657. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Suffolk County average of 51.3%.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units992
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$97,424
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shirley and the region
Centroid at 40.7907, -72.8608 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shirley scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shirley
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,914 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shirley
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shirley
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shirley
7.0
How Shirley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.2%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shirley
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,914, close to the Shirley average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $97,424.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103159517
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159517?
Census tract 36103159517 in Shirley scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103159517?
Median gross rent is $1,914/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159517?
9.1% of residents in tract 36103159517 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,657.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159517?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 52th, minority 71th, housing 6th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103159517 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103159517 compare to Shirley overall?
Tract 36103159517 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Shirley at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shirley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shirley
Top eight tracts in Shirley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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