Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Shirley Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103159408 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,508
Census tract 36103159408 covers part of Shirley, NY, and scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,508 residents. Severe burden reaches 64%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$113,594
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
National
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shirley and the region
Centroid at 40.8159, -72.8740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shirley scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shirley
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shirley
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shirley
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shirley
7.0
How Shirley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shirley
Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103159408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159408?
Census tract 36103159408 in Shirley scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159408?
10.5% of residents in tract 36103159408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,508.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 11th, minority 54th, housing 52th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 36103159408 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 36103159408 compare to Shirley overall?
Tract 36103159408 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Shirley at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shirley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shirley
Top eight tracts in Shirley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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