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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Carriage Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shelby

Tract 37045950800 · Cleveland County, NC · pop 4,251 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

In the Carriage Run neighborhood of Shelby, census tract 37045950800 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $760 monthly, set against $63,676 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 18% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,840
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$63,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carriage Run
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Shelby
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 24 tracts In Cleveland County
Low
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,055 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shelby and the region

Centroid at 35.3433, -81.5171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carriage Run scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shelby
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$760 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelby
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelby
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelby
6.7

How Carriage Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carriage Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 950800Shelby: 2.62.6Shelbyparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 733Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 8.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.1%Peak (2006)
  • 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370459508002002: 49 filings (11.84/100 renter HHs)2003: 43 filings (10.39/100 renter HHs)2004: 41 filings (9.90/100 renter HHs)2005: 53 filings (11.23/100 renter HHs)2006: 62 filings (13.14/100 renter HHs)2008: 45 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2009: 37 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2010: 35 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2011: 56 filings (7.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 57 filings (7.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 56 filings (7.33/100 renter HHs)2014: 38 filings (4.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 51 filings (6.68/100 renter HHs)2016: 43 filings (7.23/100 renter HHs)2017: 41 filings (6.89/100 renter HHs)2018: 26 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 16 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carriage Run

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shelby eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cleveland County average of 5.7 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37045950800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37045950800?

Census tract 37045950800 in the Carriage Run neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37045950800?

Median gross rent is $760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37045950800?

12.8% of residents in tract 37045950800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,251.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37045950800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 74th, minority 33th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 37045950800 considered part of Carriage Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37045950800 fall within Carriage Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37045950800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 733 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37045950800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.19% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37045950800 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37045950800 compare to Shelby overall?

Tract 37045950800 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Shelby at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelby eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shelby

Top eight tracts in Shelby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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