Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Carriage Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Shelby
Tract 37045950800 · Cleveland County, NC · pop 4,251 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
37045950800 is a census tract in the Carriage Run area of Shelby, NC. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,251. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,840
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$63,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shelby and the region
Centroid at 35.3433, -81.5171 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carriage Run scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shelby
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$760 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelby
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelby
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelby
6.7
How Carriage Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 733Total filings over 16 yrs
- 8.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2006)
- 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 16 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carriage Run
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
At $760 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Shelby commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 733 filings here across 16 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 13.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $63,676, annual rent is just 14%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for around a third of renters.
It tracks the Cleveland County average of 3.9 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37045950800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37045950800?
Census tract 37045950800 in the Carriage Run neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37045950800?
Median gross rent is $760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37045950800?
12.8% of residents in tract 37045950800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37045950800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 74th, minority 33th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 37045950800 considered part of Carriage Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37045950800 fall within Carriage Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37045950800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 733 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37045950800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.19% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37045950800 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37045950800 compare to Shelby overall?
Tract 37045950800 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Shelby at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelby eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shelby
Top eight tracts in Shelby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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