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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Brightwood Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063001808 · Durham County, NC · pop 11,342 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Brightwood Trails area of Durham anchors census tract 37063001808, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,938 a month against an average household income of $127,425 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units4,586
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$127,425

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Brightwood Trails
Moderate
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 70 tracts In Durham
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#2,306 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9588, -78.8125 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brightwood Trails scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,938 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Brightwood Trails compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brightwood Trails risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 001808Durham: 3.43.4Durhamparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 566Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 14.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.6%Peak (2016)
  • 57Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630018082005: 13 filings (1.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 35 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 45 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2010: 41 filings (20.50/100 renter HHs)2011: 30 filings (9.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 39 filings (12.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 69 filings (22.04/100 renter HHs)2014: 80 filings (25.56/100 renter HHs)2015: 76 filings (24.28/100 renter HHs)2016: 81 filings (19.57/100 renter HHs)2017: 57 filings (13.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 338% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brightwood Trails

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001808

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001808?

Census tract 37063001808 in the Brightwood Trails neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001808?

Median gross rent is $1,938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001808?

5.2% of residents in tract 37063001808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,342.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 31th, minority 67th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001808 considered part of Brightwood Trails?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001808 fall within Brightwood Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001808?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 566 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.42% of renter households, peaking at 19.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063001808 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063001808 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001808 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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