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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Brightwood Trails Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 11,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 2.2–2.2

Brightwood Trails is a black-white neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 11,342 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,938/month sits 29% higher than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score
2.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Brightwood Trails vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.6% +52%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,938 +29%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$127,425 +61%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
5.2% -57%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
9.1% -81%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brightwood Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.2–2.2

Why Brightwood Trails scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
9% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Brightwood Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brightwood Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Brightwood Trails: 2.22.2Brightwood TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Brightwood Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063001808 2.2 11,342 45% $1,938
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 19

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brightwood Trails

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 566Total filings (sum)
  • 14.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 13.77%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brightwood Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brightwood Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brightwood Trails?

Brightwood Trails scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brightwood Trails compare to Durham overall?

Brightwood Trails scores 1.2 points lower than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,938 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brightwood Trails?

Average gross rent in Brightwood Trails is $1,938/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brightwood Trails residents are renters?

9% of Brightwood Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 11,342 residents.
Q5

Is Brightwood Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Brightwood Trails sits in the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Brightwood Trails for landlords?

Brightwood Trails carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Brightwood Trails?

Brightwood Trails has 11,100 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (42.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (38.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brightwood Trails

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brightwood Trails.

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