Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Carillon Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Durham

Tract 37063002029 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,146 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 37063002029 runs through the Carillon Forest neighborhood of Durham. With 4,146 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,769 monthly, set against $80,483 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 43% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units2,007

Renter share70.5%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate6.3%

Median income$80,483

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9655, -78.9851 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carillon Forest scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

6.3% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,769 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Carillon Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
71%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
13.2%Frequent mental distress
23.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carillon Forest

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063002029

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063002029?

Census tract 37063002029 in the Carillon Forest neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063002029?

Median gross rent is $1,769/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063002029?

6.3% of residents in tract 37063002029 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,146.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063002029?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 21th, minority 53th, housing 71th.

Is tract 37063002029 considered part of Carillon Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063002029 fall within Carillon Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37063002029 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063002029 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063002029 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.