Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Carillon Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,146 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3.3–3.3

Carillon Forest is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Durham with 1 census tract and a population of 4,146 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,769/month sits 17% higher than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score

3.3

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Carillon Forest vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

38.9% +32%

Durham: 29.4%

Average gross rent

$1,769 +17%

Durham: $1,508

Average HH income

$80,483 +2%

Durham: $79,234

Poverty rate

6.3% -48%

Durham: 12.2%

Renter share

70.5% +48%

Durham: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carillon Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.3–3.3

Why Carillon Forest scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

39% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

71% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Risk score comparison

Carillon Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Carillon Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37063002029	3.3	4,146	39%	$1,769

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 21%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 71%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carillon Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility shutoff threat
7.2%Food insecurity
4.8%SNAP enrollment
6.1%No health insurance
23.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Carillon Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Carillon Forest?

Carillon Forest scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Carillon Forest compare to Durham overall?

Carillon Forest scores 0.1 points lower than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,769 vs $1,508.

What is the average rent in Carillon Forest?

Average gross rent in Carillon Forest is $1,769/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Carillon Forest residents are renters?

71% of Carillon Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 4,146 residents.

Is Carillon Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Carillon Forest sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Carillon Forest for landlords?

Carillon Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Carillon Forest?

Carillon Forest has 4,007 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carillon Forest

4.5 Beech Lake 2 tracts · pop 4,792 3.6 Hope Valley North 2 tracts · pop 10,080 3.9 Crest Street 2 tracts · pop 6,841 5.2 Annie Day Shepard Dormitory 4 tracts · pop 11,781 5.1 Keene 2 tracts · pop 13,770 5.2 Hillcrest 2 tracts · pop 8,879

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carillon Forest.

3.3 Cabes Ford 1 tracts · pop 3,712 3.3 Barclay to Sandlewood 1 tracts · pop 5,395 3.3 Cardinal Oaks 1 tracts · pop 7,620 3.3 American Village 1 tracts · pop 5,395 3.2 S H Chandler 1 tracts · pop 6,329 3.2 Chicopee Hills 1 tracts · pop 6,112

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