Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

J W Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001810 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,487 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 37063001810 covers part of the J W Smith area of Durham, NC, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,487. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 23% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,417

Renter share40.6%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate12.2%

Median income$64,619

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9754, -78.8382 · click any tract to drill in

Why J W Smith scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

12.2% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,452 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How J W Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.2%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
25.0%Food insecurity
20.6%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
17.5%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
32.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in J W Smith

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Food insecurity runs 25.0% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. It tracks the Durham County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,452, close to the Durham average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $64,619.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001810

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001810?

Census tract 37063001810 in the J W Smith neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063001810?

Median gross rent is $1,452/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001810?

12.2% of residents in tract 37063001810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,487.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001810?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 78th, minority 90th, housing 69th.

Is tract 37063001810 considered part of J W Smith?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001810 fall within J W Smith (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 37063001810 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063001810 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001810 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.